In  January Time Magazine placed the Kurdistan Region among the top 10  aspiring nations for independence in 2011 after Southern Sudan voted for  secession this month.
 
The idea of a similar experience for the  Iraqi Kurds sparks diverse views. The Arabs would rather think that the  Kurds of Iraq do not want to secede from Iraq or else they would have  been able to do that with US help. 
 
Meanwhile, observers believe that the time neither is nor appropriate for the secession of the Kurds from Iraq. 
 
Unlike  the southern Sudanese people, the Kurds have their own government,  parliament, president, armed forces, flag and even a draft constitution  which they plan to put to a popular vote soon.
 
In both Sudan and  Iraq many ethnic groups live and the two countries are both former  British colonies. The Iraqi state was established by the British in  1926, Sudan by the Sudanese people with British consent in 1956.
 
There  is the speculation that the US and west supported southern Sudan  because they are mainly Christians and it may not support the Muslim  Kurds in northern Iraq, but Kaiwan Azad Anwar, a history instructor in  Sulaimaniyah University, thinks otherwise.
 
"It is true that  there are Christians in southern Sudan, but it was actually the violence  against those people by the Sudanese government that pushed the US and  Europe to support them" said Anwar.
 
Anwar believes that there is  no parallel between the Kurdistan Region and Sudan's Southern region  because, despite lack of violence against the Kurds in northern Iraq,  "Kurdistan has not called for secession so far, therefore, creating a  similar atmosphere will drive Iraq towards turmoil and the regional  countries will intervene in Iraq".
 
"It is not the time for the  Kurds to ask for separation, though the internal conditions are  suitable, it will end up at the loss of the Kurds if they decide to make  such a demand"
 
A member of the Iraqi parliament Latif Mustafa,  who is a member of the Kurdish opposition group Gorran, said it was not  true to say that no one would support Kurdistan, the problem is we don't  ask for separation, and as we don't, nobody would come to us to propose  a referendum to secede from Iraq".
 
There is one very clear  difference between Kurdistan and South Sudan, he says: "their leaders  are loyal (to their people) and openly say it to the world, but our  leaders not only don't demand secession but also are ashamed of talking  about it".
 
"… They want to show that seceding from Iraq is the most evil crime" he says.
 
"In  1992, we asked for federalism and many people thought that it was a  dangerous demand but it worked. Before the fall of the former Iraqi  regime in 2003, there were calls to change our motto (from federalism)  to independence and if it was to be made a political reality we would  have been independent long ago" Mustafa said.
 
One big difference  between the reality of the Kurdish region and southern Sudan is that  the referendum in Sudan was part of an agreement in 2005 between the  north and the south, which is not the case in Kurdistan. Quite the  opposite, Iraqi Arab politicians vehemently oppose secession in  Kurdistan.
 
When President of Kurdistan Region Massoud Barzani  talked about self-determination in his party congress in November this  year, it created a fuss among many Arab leaders. Some of them went so  far as wondering whether the Kurds wanted federalism to prepare for  independence from Iraq.
 
Farid Asasard, director of Kurdistan  Strategic Studies Center (KSSC) says the constitution should grant the  right of a referendum for secession to the Kurdish region. And the  self-determination right has not been established in the current Iraqi  constitution.
 
Another problem for the Kurds is that it is  surrounded by countries like Iran, Turkey, and Syria that would not  accept the separation of Kurdistan from Iraq, not only because they are  against the division of Iraq, but because they have their own Kurdish  regions which might want the same.
 
"After the withdrawal of the  US forces from Iraq by the end of 2011, Kurdistan can proclaim  independence if the situation in Iraq deteriorates," says Mohammed  Bazyani, head of the Hoda Center for Strategic Research, "but the  Peshmarga forces, the army, and security forces have to be united and  the Kurdish political leadership provide an appropriate life for the  people and pave the way for the purpose".
Dler Abdul Rahman, edited by Raber Younis Aziz 
 						
 
